Data

Data | Among nations with a high case load, infections continue to double in less than 20 days only in India

A health worker screens people for COVID-19 symptoms at Dharavi, in Mumbai on July 6, 2020.

A health worker screens people for COVID-19 symptoms at Dharavi, in Mumbai on July 6, 2020.   | Photo Credit: AP

On July 6, the number of COVID-19 cases in India crossed the 7 lakh mark and the number of deaths crossed 20,000.

While cases continue to rise at a rapid pace, relatively better case fatality and recovery rates have kept the active cases in check. However, only a drop in daily new cases will flatten the curve decisively.

Third position

The graph plots cases in countries with more than 2 lakh infections since the 10,000th case. If the average number of cases in the last seven days is much higher than the previous seven days, then cases are rising faster (red), if slightly higher, then cases are rising at a relatively slower pace (yellow), and if it is lower, then the cases are decreasing (green).

On June 5, India overtook Russia in the number of cumulative cases. India and the U.S. are the only nations in the group where the average cases in the latest seven days are much higher than the previous seven days.

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Lowest doubling time

The graph depicts case doubling time in countries with over 2 lakh infections on three dates - May 7, June 7 and July 7. Doubling time is the estimated number of days it takes for cases to double in a nation. India is the only country where cases doubled in less than 20 days (red) on all three dates. In other nations, cases doubled in 20-40 days (yellow) or more than 40 days (green) on at least one of the dates.

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Rising deaths

The graph plots the number of COVID-19-related deaths in countries with over 2 lakh infections against the case fatality rate (CFR, deaths/cases) as of July 5. Despite having a relatively higher number of deaths, India's CFR is lower than many countries.

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Higher recoveries

The graph plots the recovery rate (% recovered among infected) in countries with >2 lakh cases against the active cases (cases - (deaths+recoveries)) as of July 5. India has a relatively high recovery rate, but due to a high case load the number of active cases is also relatively high .

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A very steep rise in infections along with a persistently low doubling time presents a bleak picture for India in terms of cases. In terms of deaths, however, the situation is relatively better, despite the number of new deaths rising at a sedate pace.

Also read: The path to 5 lakh coronavirus cases

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Printable version | Aug 9, 2020 4:07:38 AM | https://www.thehindu.com/data/among-nations-with-a-high-case-load-infections-continue-to-double-in-less-than-20-days-only-in-india/article32012351.ece

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