The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has forecast a ‘normal’ monsoon for this year. In the agency’s parlance, normal implies that the country will get 96% to 104% of the 88 cm that it gets from June-September. This quantity, called the Long Period Average (LPA), is a mean of monsoon rainfall from 1961-2010. The IMD, for over 20 years now, follows a two-stage monsoon forecast system. After the prognosis in April, it gives an updated estimate in late May or early June. This includes an estimate of how much rain is likely in: northwest India, northeast India, central India and southern peninsula. Numbers are also given for July and August, which see two-thirds of the monsoon rains and are the most important months for sowing. This year, there will be forecasts for June and September too, to be given in May and August, respectively. Historically, predicting rain for June and September is challenging as it corresponds to the monsoon’s entry and exit. There will also be forecasts for
  • 6hrs

The retirement of Raul Castro as the first secretary of Cuba’s ruling Communist Party brings to an end the six-decade-long rule of the “historic generation”, who, under the leadership of Fidel Castro, captured power in 1959 through an armed revolution. Fidel remained at the helm of affairs in the island, in the face of growing hostility from the U.S. until he fell sick in 2006. Two years later, he handed the party to his younger brother, who had fought alongside him in the guerrilla war against the dictatorship of Fulgencio Batista in the 1950s. Under the younger Castro, Cuba started taking baby steps towards opening up the state-controlled economy. He had also overseen rapid improvement in relations with the U.S., when Barack Obama eased some restrictions on the Cuban economy, travelled to Havana and opened an American Embassy. In 2018, Mr. Raul stepped down as President, handing government responsibilities to his hand-picked next generation leader, Miguel Díaz-Canel. Now when the
  • 6hrs
Lead

The Election Commission of India cannot be a super government

P.D.T. Achary
  • 6hrs
Lead

Election watch from across the Bengal border

Syed Munir Khasru
  • 6hrs
 
Comment

An obituary for the IP Appellate Board

Feroz Ali Roshan John
  • 6hrs

An inclusive public sphere

A.S. Panneerselvan

From Lala to Virat — colourful characters have always existed in Indian cricket

Suresh Menon

A fragile ecosystem

A.S. Panneerselvan
Mother working from home
Open Page

WFH rhythms

K. Shajil Kumar
Illustration of a Kathakali face
Open Page

The quaint connoisseurs

K.K. Gopalakrishnan
Fish hook with a label and text free. concept of special offer or fraud. Deception, a trap on the hook. Vector illustration in flat style
Open Page

Marketing magic in old Madras

T.C. Narayan