Data | It’s a strong rural victory for the Congress in Karnataka

BJP is ahead only in urban seats, while Congress performs much better in semi-urban, rural and semi-rural areas

May 13, 2023 02:35 pm | Updated 06:56 pm IST

Rural-urban votes: Supporters of the Congress party celebrate early leads for the party in the Karnataka state elections in Bengaluru, India, Saturday, May 13, 2023.

Rural-urban votes: Supporters of the Congress party celebrate early leads for the party in the Karnataka state elections in Bengaluru, India, Saturday, May 13, 2023. | Photo Credit: AP

The Assembly election results’ trends in Karnataka are indicating a decisive victory for the Congress party with wins in 136 seats out of the 224 in the contest. A closer look at whether there was a rural-urban skew in the performance reveals that India’s grand old party registered its strongest performance in rural and semi-rural constituencies, even as its vote shares increased across all regions (urban and semi-urban ones as well) as compared to the 2018 Assembly elections.

Also read | Karnataka election results live

 The Congress’ overall vote share according to the latest trends is 43%, with the shares going up to 44% in semi-rural and rural constituencies compared to the BJP’s 28.5% and 36.8% shares. It was a different story in urban constituencies. The Congress registered a 45.4% share in urban seats, relatively higher than Congress’ share. The BJP’s vote share dipped to 36.2% in semi-urban seats.

Table 1: The table shows the vote share secured in the 2023 elections and the change from the 2018 polls across rural-urban categories

In sum, the Congress won in a whopping 92 of the 143 seats in rural and semi-rural areas, a significant 62 seats higher than the BJP’s 30. The JD(S) which prides itself as a party committed to agrarian issues and has traditionally dominated in Vokkaliga strongholds, maintained its seat tally (8 wins) in the rural seats but lost significantly in semi-rural constituencies (9 seats won in 2023, a drop of 8 seats) compared to the 2018 results.

Also read:Karnataka election results 2023 | Party-hoppers who joined the Congress had more success than those who were fielded by BJP

Table 2: The table shows the number of seats led in the 2023 elections and the change from the 2018 polls across rural-urban categories

In urban seats, the Congress’s tally did not decrease while it increased its tally by 11 seats in semi-urban constituencies compared to the 2018 elections. The BJP enhanced its urban tally by 2 seats while dropping behind in 4 seats among semi-urban constituencies compared to the 2018 elections.

It can be safely said that the rural areas of Karnataka returned in favour of the Congress in a big way. 

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