Data: Can Howdy Modi impact Indian-origin votes in the U.S.?

PM Modi’s support for Donald Trump could swing some Indian-origin voters, most of who had voted for the Democratic Party in 2016

Updated - September 26, 2019 07:09 pm IST

Published - September 26, 2019 06:48 pm IST

Common platform: Narendra Modi endorsed Donald Trump at the ‘Howdy, Modi!’ event. AFP

Common platform: Narendra Modi endorsed Donald Trump at the ‘Howdy, Modi!’ event. AFP

The share of Indian-origin voters in the United States has been steadily increasing over the years. A majority of them have always supported the Democratic Party in U.S. presidential elections. Last Sunday PM Narendra Modi appealed to 50,000 Indian-Americans who attended the ‘Howdy, Modi’ event to vote for Trump in 2020. If Modi’s appeal is successful, Trump’s fortunes could change in some counties.

Growing clout

The U.S. midterm election in 2018 was racially and ethnically most diverse ever. Asians are steadily growing as a substantive voter base in the U.S. Asians formed 3.5% of U.S. voters in the 2018 midterm polls.

Steady rise

 

A significant force

As of 2016, of the 41 lakh-odd Indian origin people in the U.S., close to 18 lakh (44%) were of voting age. Among Asians, Chinese and Filipionos had formed the largest share of voters in the U.S. Indian-origin people had formed the third-largest block of voters among Asians.

Asian voters in the U.S.

 

Democratic bent

Of the Indian-origin registered voters in the U.S., 84% wanted more stringent gun laws, according to a survey in 2018 and 76% wanted undocumented immigrants to become U.S. citizens. Due to such opinions, 54% of them did not favour the Republicans in 2018. The disconnect with the current dispensation showed in their voting behaviour in the 2016 presidential polls.

How Indian-origin people voted in U.S.

image/svg+xmlInsignificant0-1% of Indian-origin voters1-55-7Map shows the % ofIndian-origin voters in allthe counties across the U.S.> 7Santa Clara,8.8%Fort Bend,7.4%Middlesex15%Somerset9%Loudoun8%Collin,6%Sutter,11%
 

Hillary Clinton won 11 out of the 14 counties in which Indian-origin voters exceeded 5% of the population. The vote % of candidates in 2016 in those counties is listed in the table.

Hillary Clinton vs Donald Trump

 

Source: 2018 Asian American Voter Survey, Pew Survey

0 / 0
Sign in to unlock member-only benefits!
  • Access 10 free stories every month
  • Save stories to read later
  • Access to comment on every story
  • Sign-up/manage your newsletter subscriptions with a single click
  • Get notified by email for early access to discounts & offers on our products
Sign in

Comments

Comments have to be in English, and in full sentences. They cannot be abusive or personal. Please abide by our community guidelines for posting your comments.

We have migrated to a new commenting platform. If you are already a registered user of The Hindu and logged in, you may continue to engage with our articles. If you do not have an account please register and login to post comments. Users can access their older comments by logging into their accounts on Vuukle.