In charts: International Monetary Fund's World Economic Outlook

October 18, 2019 04:47 pm | Updated 04:48 pm IST

IMF Chief Economist and Director of Research Gita Gopinath with a copy of the World Economic Outlook 2019, at Washington on October 15, 2019.

IMF Chief Economist and Director of Research Gita Gopinath with a copy of the World Economic Outlook 2019, at Washington on October 15, 2019.

In the World Economic Outlook released on Tuesday , the IMF downgraded global growth to 3% for 2019, the lowest since 2008–09 and a 0.3 percentage point downgrade from April 2019.

In a few major economies, including India, growth in 2019 is sharply lower than in 2018, but is expected to recover in 2020. About India, the report said, "...Growth softened in 2019 as corporate and environmental regulatory uncertainty, together with concerns about the health of the nonbank financial sector, weighed on demand."

Here are the highlights of the report in charts.

Bad business Over the year, a common feature across the world has been a slowdown in industrial output. The graph depicts year-on-year percentage change across economic indicators.

image/svg+xml87654210-12015201620172018Aug. 2019Industrial productionWorld trade volumesMany indicators contractedin the recent monthsManufacturing PMI: New orders
 

Investments decline Downturns in global trade are related to reduced investment spending. Global investment did slow down in line with reduced imports.

image/svg+xml20151050-5-10-1520052009201320172019The graph shows global investment and trade foremerging markets excluding China (% change)Real importsReal investmentReal GDP at market exchange rates
 

Trade woes Production slowdown led to a standstill in trade. In the first half of 2019, global trade volume was just 1% above its value a year ago, the slowest pace for a 6-month period since 2012.

image/svg+xmlJan.2018April2018July2018Oct.2018Jan.2019Apr.2019June201976543210-1-2U.S. & CanadaChinaEuro areaU.K.East Asia excluding ChinaRest of worldOtheremergingmarkets
 

Auto slump impact Another contributor to the slowdown in global trade has been the slump in car sales, which is reflected in a slowdown in the purchase of consumer durables.

image/svg+xml20152016201720182019 Q265432101086420Machinery and equipmentConsumerdurables(right scale)The graph shows spending on durablegoods (% change from a year ago)
 

The report said that on a global level, the manufacturing sector has slumped to levels not seen since the global recession of the late 2000s. It also said that "rising trade and geopolitical tensions" have taken "a toll on business confidence, investment decisions, and global trade".

 

0 / 0
Sign in to unlock member-only benefits!
  • Access 10 free stories every month
  • Save stories to read later
  • Access to comment on every story
  • Sign-up/manage your newsletter subscriptions with a single click
  • Get notified by email for early access to discounts & offers on our products
Sign in

Comments

Comments have to be in English, and in full sentences. They cannot be abusive or personal. Please abide by our community guidelines for posting your comments.

We have migrated to a new commenting platform. If you are already a registered user of The Hindu and logged in, you may continue to engage with our articles. If you do not have an account please register and login to post comments. Users can access their older comments by logging into their accounts on Vuukle.