The monsoon rainfall from June to September is likely to be more than that forecast by the India Meteorological Department (IMD) in April, with the agency on Tuesday upping its estimate from 99% to 103% of the Long Period Average (LPA).
The monsoon rainfall over the four broad regions — central India, southern peninsula, northeast India and northwest India — for which the India Meteorological Department provides a forecast, are also likely to be plentiful. Central India and the southern peninsula are expected to get 106% of their historical average.
Rainfall is likely to be ‘normal’ over northeast India and northwest India.
The southwest monsoon seasonal rainfall over the monsoon core zone, which consists of most of the rain-ed agriculture regions, is also most likely to be ‘above normal’ or more than 106% of its historical average.