Former President Jair Bolsonaro arrived back in Brazil on March 30 after a three-month stay in Florida, seeking a new role on the political scene as authorities in the capital braced for the far-right populist's return.
Bolsonaro left Brazil just before the end of his presidential term. In so doing, he broke with tradition by declining to hand the presidential sash to his successor, Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, who won the October election with the narrowest finish since Brazil's return to democracy over three decades earlier.
While in the U.S., Bolsonaro mostly kept a low profile, although he delivered several speeches to Brazilian expats and conservatives, including at the Conservative Political Action Conference in Maryland.
For the first time in 30 years, the lawmaker-turned-president does not hold elected office.
“I'm without a mandate, but I'm not retired,” Bolsonaro told television network Jovem Pan on Monday.
The Federal District's security secretariat mobilised hundreds of police officers and the Esplanade of Ministries was closed to prevent gatherings of Bolsonaro's supporters.
A horde of his supporters stormed and ransacked the capital's most important government buildings on January 8, one week after Lula took office, seeking to oust the new president from power.
Bolsonaro's aim to reassume political prominence may be stymied by a series of investigations, including whether he incited the January 8 uprising. Recent revelations by newspaper Estado de S.Paulo regarding three boxes of expensive jewellery allegedly brought to Bolsonaro from Saudi Arabia have exposed the former president to greater legal jeopardy.
His return to Brazil has been repeatedly delayed, and some had speculated he could postpone indefinitely in light of his legal troubles.
Steve Bannon, a longtime ally of Trump and considered a strategist of the global far right, told Brazilian newspaper Folha de S.Paulo this week that Bolsonaro never should have left the country, and dismissed the importance of the investigations.
Now that Bolsonaro has returned, his first objective will be to rally opposition to Lula's government, said Mayra Goulart da Silva, a political scientist from the Federal University of Rio de Janeiro.
“Bolsonaro decided to return to Brazil because no clear opposition leader to the government has emerged,” da Silva said, adding that the vacuum might otherwise be filled by someone else.
Next year's municipal elections are an important step toward gaining political momentum for a possible 2026 presidential run. Bolsonaro is expected to throw his support behind his Liberal Party's mayoral candidates who, if victorious, can then use their stature to stump for him.
In addition to probes into the diamonds, Bolsonaro is the subject of about a dozen investigations by Brazil's electoral courts into his actions during last year's campaign, particularly related to his unsubstantiated claims that the electronic voting system is susceptible to fraud. If Bolsonaro is found guilty in any of those cases, he would lose his political rights and be unable to run for office in the next election.