BJP to romp home, say exit polls

BJP appeared set to return to power with a bigger mandate in Maharashtra, where it is in alliance with the Shiv Sena, and Haryana, as exit polls forecast a facile victory for the party in the two states and rout for its rivals led by the Congress.   | Photo Credit: AFP

All the exit polls uniformly projected an easy walkover for the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance in the Maharashtra and Haryana Assembly elections. The exit polls gave two third-majority to the BJP-Shiv Sena Mahayuti in Maharashtra and nearly three-fourth majority to the NDA in Haryana.

However, as per the exit polls in Maharastra it will be difficult for the BJP to reach a clear majority on its own. These predictions assume significance with the ongoing power tussle between the BJP and Shiv Sena. In an Assembly of 288 seats, the required number for a simple majority is 145. In the incumbent assembly, the BJP had 122 members and the Shiv Sena 63.

The News 18-IPSOS Exit Poll projected that the Mahayuti will win 243 seats, with the BJP on its own getting 141, just four short of the majority mark. The Shiv Sena, it claims, will get 102, placing it in a strong position to claim the deputy CM’s post.


The poll has projected a sharp fall in votes for the Nationalist Congress Party (NCP) with a seat tally of 22 and the Congress at 17. The NCP and Congress had 41 and 42 seats respectively in the out-going Assembly.

TV-9 Marathi predicted 123 for BJP and 74 for Shiv Sena. The channel predicted practically no change in the Congress's tally of 40 seats and a drop in the NCP’s share to just 33 seats.


Republic TV- an Ki Baat polls gave BJP 135-142 and Shiv Sena 81-88. The Congress-NCP combine as their estimate will get 54 and others 11. India News is the only one give a clear majority to BJP projecting 144-150 seats. As per their predictions the Shiv Sena will be down to 44-50. It has predicted 74-89 seats for Congress-NCP, the highest given by any exit poll.

ABP C-Voter has predicted 204 seats for the Mahayuti, 69 for the Congress-NCP and 15 for others.


Higher in Haryana

In Haryana, the BJP, as per the exit polls is slated to win a three-fourths majority delegating the opposition to the margins. News18-IPSOS projected 75 seats for the BJP and 10 for the Congress. This is a significant improvement from 2014 when BJP won 47 seats. Congress holds 15 in the out-going Assembly. As per the News 18-IPSOS, BJP is gaining at the cost of the Indian National Lok Dal (INLD) which had 19 seats in the out-going assembly and will come down to zero as per the polls.

Republic TV also had a similar predictions for the INLD giving it 0-1 seats. The poll predicted 52-63 for BJP, 15-19 for Congress and five to nine seats for the Jannayak Janata Party — the breakaway unit of INLD— helmed by Dushyant Chautala.

The numbers from the other exit polls were also in the same range. Times Now projected 71 seats for the BJP, 11 for the Congress and eight for others. News X gave 77 to the BJP, 11 to Congress and two for others. TV-9 Bharatvarsh predicted 47 seats for the BJP, 23 for the Congress and 20 for others. The ABP-CVoter gave 72 to the BJP, eight for the Congress and 10 for others. 

India Today-Axis Poll withheld their exit poll. In an official message put out by the channel said that they are waiting for final poll percentagesbefore making their numbers public.

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Printable version | Jan 21, 2021 4:14:31 PM |

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