In vote share terms, the BJP fared badly in constituencies where Narendra Modi and Yogi Adityanath campaigned in four States that went to polls in November-December (Mizoram is excluded from the analysis).
The table shows the State-wise tally of seats where Rahul Gandhi, Mr. Modi and Mr. Adityanath campaigned.
| Campaigner | Chhattisgarh | Madhya Pradesh | Rajasthan | Telangana | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adityanath | 23 | 11 | 26 | 1 | 61 |
| Narendra Modi | 8 | 18 | 26 | 3 | 55 |
| Rahul Gandhi | 19 | 20 | 28 | 8 | 75 |
The below table shows vote percentage changes in seat terms in comparison to 2013/14
| Campaigner | Seats where vote % dropped | Seats where vote % increased | NA/Did not contest |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rahul Gandhi | 12 | 58 | 5 |
| Narendra Modi | 46 | 7 | 2 |
| Adityanath | 50 | 11 | - |
The slip in vote share for the BJP was most evident where Mr. Adityanath campaigned. There was a drop in vote share in 50 seats out of 61 (82%).
Where Mr. Modi campaigned, the BJP's vote share slumped in 46 out of 55 seats.
In Mr. Gandhi's case, 58 out of 75 seats (77%) registered an increase in vote share for the Congress.
The table below shows the average vote share change in 2018 compared to the 2013/14 elections in these seats.
| Campaigner | Chhattisgarh | Madhya Pradesh | Rajasthan | Telangana |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rahul Gandhi | 2.64 | 6.79 | 7.90 | 22.86 |
| Narendra Modi | -7.20 | -3.76 | -9.69 | -8.64 |
| Adityanath | -8.55 | -5.79 | -6.06 | 16.19 |
The table below shows percentage of seats gained or lost by the Congress in places where Mr. Gandhi campaigned.
'Gained' denotes percentage of seats where a party won in 2018 but had lost in 2013/14.
'Lost' denotes percentage of seats a party lost in 2018, but won in 2013/14.
| State | Gained | Lost |
|---|---|---|
| Chhattisgarh | 47.37% | 15.79% |
| Madhya Pradesh | 35.00% | 0.00% |
| Rajasthan | 39.29% | 0.00% |
| Telangana | 33.33% | 66.67% |
| Total | 40.00% | 7.14% |
The table below shows percentage of seats lost by the BJP in places where Mr. Modi campaigned. The party did not gain even one seat in these places.
| State | Gained | Lost |
|---|---|---|
| Chhattisgarh | 0.00% | 37.50% |
| Madhya Pradesh | 0.00% | 38.89% |
| Rajasthan | 0.00% | 61.54% |
| Telangana | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Total | 0.00% | 49.06% |
The table shows the percentage of seats gained or lost by the BJP in places where Mr. Adityanath campaigned.
| State | Gained | Lost |
|---|---|---|
| Chhattisgarh | 8.70% | 65.22% |
| Madhya Pradesh | 0.00% | 27.27% |
| Rajasthan | 3.85% | 46.15% |
| Telangana | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Total | 4.92% | 49.18% |
Inputs from Vignesh Radhakrishnan, Srinivasan Ramani and Omar Rashid. Some data was sourced from Mint newspaper
