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Data | How has BJP fared in recent Assembly elections compared to the Lok Sabha poll?

AAP workers celebrate victory in the Delhi Assembly polls at party headquarters on Tuesday. R.V. Moorthy

AAP workers celebrate victory in the Delhi Assembly polls at party headquarters on Tuesday. R.V. Moorthy  

Even as the BJP’s tally in the 2020 Delhi Assembly election increased compared to the 2015 polls, the party’s vote share fell well short of the support it received in Delhi in the 2019 Lok Sabha election. A look at the BJP’s performance in 13 recent Assembly elections shows that the party has been underperforming compared to the support it garnered during the 2019 national election.

Before Lok Sabha polls 2019

In comparison to its performance in States that went to polls in November-December 2018, the BJP’s vote share in the 2019 Lok Sabha election was much higher.

States which went to polls before the Lok Sabha election

image/svg+xml State No of constituencies in which BJP contested % vote share in Assembly election % vote share in general election Vote share difference in the two elections (in % points) Chhattisgarh 90 32.97 51.42 -18.45 Madhya Pradesh 230 41.02 58.51 -17.5 Mizoram 39 8.29 5.83 2.46 Rajasthan 191 38.97 61.34 -22.37 Telangana 118 7.07 19.75 -12.68
 

Lok Sabha and Assembly Polls

Moreover, though in four States the Lok Sabha and Assembly elections were held on the same day, the BJP registered fewer votes in the Assembly elections than it did in the same constituencies in the Lok Sabha election.

States which went to polls along with the Lok Sabha election

image/svg+xml State No of constituencies in which BJP contested % vote share in Assembly election % vote share in general election Vote share difference in the two elections (in % points) Andhra Pradesh 167 0.86 1 -0.15 Arunachal Pradesh 57 50.86 57.51 -6.66 Odisha 146 32.49 38.74 -6.25 Sikkim 12 4.06 5.56 -1.5
 

After Lok Sabha polls

The trend continued in the four Assembly elections after the BJP’s return to power in the Centre — the party witnessed a dip in its vote share compared to its performance in the 2019 Lok Sabha election.

States which went to polls after the Lok Sabha election

image/svg+xml State No of constituencies in which BJP contested % vote share in Assembly election % vote share in general election Vote share difference in the two elections (in % points) Haryana 90 36.49 58.14 -21.64 Maharashtra 100 44.46 54.1 -9.63 Jharkhand 73 34.62 55.59 -20.97 Delhi 67 38.51 56.87 -18.36
 

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Printable version | Sep 30, 2020 8:31:39 PM | https://www.thehindu.com/data/how-has-bjp-fared-in-recent-assembly-elections-compared-to-lok-sabha-polls/article30799458.ece

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