Moody’s downgrades Tata Motors’ rating

Pandemic adds to cash flow pressures

June 18, 2020 10:58 pm | Updated 10:58 pm IST - New Delhi

Moody’’s expects a 25% drop in wholesale unit sales in FY 2021.

Moody’’s expects a 25% drop in wholesale unit sales in FY 2021.

Moody’s Investors Service on Thursday said it had downgraded Tata Motors’ rating as the company faces tough market conditions amid the COVID-19 pandemic.

The ratings agency said it had downgraded Tata Motors’ corporate family rating (CFR) and senior unsecured instruments rating to B1 from Ba3.

“The outlook on all ratings has been changed to ‘negative’ from ratings under review,” Moody’s Investors Service said in a statement.

This rating action concludes the review for downgrade initiated on March 26 2020, it added.

“The downgrade reflects the sustained deterioration in the automaker’s credit profile,” Moody’s vice-president and senior credit officer Kaustubh Chaubal said.

The company’s credit profile was already under pressure due to lower auto sales and falling demand in key markets even prior to the COVID-19 outbreak, he added.

“The pandemic has amplified the pressure on Tata Motors’ cash flows and will likely result in a prolonged period of weak credit metric,” Mr. Chaubal noted.

The rating downgrade reflects the acute challenges being faced by the company with the overall auto sector witnessing slowing sales stemming from sluggish economic activity, weak liquidity, tight financing norms, and poor consumer sentiment, Moody’s said.

Although the company commands a 43% market share in the domestic commercial vehicle segment, Moody’s said it expected about 25% decline in its wholesale unit sales in fiscal 2021 on the back of a 34% decline in fiscal 2020.

Credit profile

“Such weak demand prospects put additional pressure on its credit profile as this segment has subsidised the loss-making passenger vehicle operations for several years,” it noted.

The domestic passenger vehicle business continues to lose market share and reported losses in fiscal 2020, the agency said.

Moody’s expects Tata Motors to curb the unit sales decline to about 10% in fiscal 2021 from 37% the previous year, reflecting the new model launches compliant with the transition to Bharat-VI emission norms from April 1.

That said, the company’s ability to quickly turn around this business remains challenged, especially since the segment is crowded with domestic and large multinational automakers, it said.

Commenting on Tata Motors’ British arm Jaguar Land Rover, Moody’s said it believes that a degree of market recovery, ongoing model launches, including refreshes and the company’s extended restructuring program, will lead to an improvement in performance by fiscal 2022.

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