Economy

Fed hikes rates, sees 3 more years of growth

Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said removing ‘accommodative’ did not signal a policy outlook change. afp

Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said removing ‘accommodative’ did not signal a policy outlook change. afp   | Photo Credit: AFP

Dispenses with language calling policy accommodative

The U.S. Federal Reserve raised interest rates on Wednesday and left intact its plans to steadily tighten monetary policy, as it forecast that the U.S. economy would enjoy at least three more years of growth.

In a statement that marked the end of the era of “accommodative” monetary policy, Fed policy-makers lifted the benchmark overnight lending rate by a quarter of a percentage point to a range of 2.00% to 2.25%.

The U.S. central bank still foresees another rate hike in December, three more next year, and one increase in 2020.

That would put the benchmark overnight lending rate at 3.4%, roughly half a percentage point above the Fed’s estimated “neutral” rate of interest, at which rates neither stimulate nor restrict the economy.

That tight policy stance is projected to stay level through 2021, the timeframe of the Fed’s latest economic projections.

“The thing that folks were watching for, which they went ahead and did, was remove the word ‘accommodative’ in regard to their monetary policy,” said Michael Arone, chief investment strategist at State Street Global Advisors.

“It does seem to potentially indicate they believe monetary policy is becoming less accommodative and getting more towards that neutral rate.”

Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said the removal of the wording, which had been a staple of the central bank’s guidance for financial markets and households for much of the past decade, did not signal a policy outlook change.

“Instead, it is a sign that policy is proceeding in line with our expectations,” Powell, who took over as head of the Fed earlier this year, said in a press conference after the release of the statement.

The U.S. Treasury yield curve flattened and the U.S. dollar briefly weakened against a basket of currencies. U.S. stocks initially extended gains but fell later in the trading session, with bank and financial stocks getting hit hard.

The Fed sees the economy growing at a faster-than-expected 3.1% this year and continuing to expand moderately for at least three more years, amid sustained low unemployment and stable inflation near its 2% target.

“The labour market has continued to strengthen ... economic activity has been rising at a strong rate,” it said in its statement.

The Fed inserted no substitute language for the dropped ‘accommodative’ wording in its statement. That wording had become less and less accurate since the central bank began increasing rates in late 2015 from a near-zero level, and its removal means the Fed now considers rates near neutral.

New projections

Wednesday’s rate increase once again drew criticism from President Donald Trump, who has complained that the Fed’s actions are countering his efforts to boost the economy.

“We’re doing great as a country. Unfortunately, they just raised interest rates because we are doing so well. I’m not happy about that,” Trump told a press conference on the sidelines of the United Nations General Assembly in New York.

“I'd rather pay down debt or do other things, create more jobs. So I'm worried about the fact that they seem to like raising interest rates.”

Powell, at his press conference, declined to say whether Fed policymakers had discussed Trump’s previous criticism of the central bank.

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Printable version | Apr 3, 2020 3:40:10 AM | https://www.thehindu.com/business/Economy/fed-hikes-rates-sees-3-more-years-of-growth/article25061088.ece

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