China factory output, retail sales accelerate

Data reflects consolidation of recovery

March 16, 2021 04:21 am | Updated 04:21 am IST - BEIJING

Employees work on a wire harness production line at a factory, which largely supplies car accessories to the overseas automotive market, in Huaibei, eastern China's Anhui province on March 9, 2021.

Employees work on a wire harness production line at a factory, which largely supplies car accessories to the overseas automotive market, in Huaibei, eastern China's Anhui province on March 9, 2021.

China’s industrial output growth quickened in January-February, beating expectations, as the vast manufacturing sector started 2021 on a firm footing and the economy consolidated its brisk recovery.

Retail sales in the period also rose in a boost to domestic demand, giving a strong lift to business activity on top of the recent upsurge in exports growth.

Industrial output rose 35.1% in the first two months, up from a 7.3% uptick seen in December, data from the National Bureau of Statistics showed on Monday. That was stronger than a median forecast of a 30% surge in a Reuters poll.

COVID-19 containment

China’s ability to contain the COVID-19 pandemic before other major economies were able to do so has allowed it to rebound faster, with the recovery helped by robust exports, pent-up demand and government stimulus.

While the impressive numbers are in part due to distortions from last year’s massive slump in activity, other measures show the recovery is broad-based with industrial output up 16.9% compared with the first two months of 2019, before the pandemic struck.

‘Not yet solid’

An NBS official said that positive factors for China’s economy are increasing but the foundation for the recovery is not yet solid.

A rebound in foreign demand drove export growth in February to a record pace, while factory gate prices posted the biggest jump since November 2018.

China’s economic activity is normally distorted and volatile in the first two months because of the week-long Lunar New Year holiday, which fell in February this year.

Retail sales increased 33.8% in the first two months, marking a significant jump from 4.6% growth in December. Sales grew 6.4% compared with the first two months of 2019.

Fixed asset investment increased 35% year-on-year in the first two months.

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