August industrial production shrinks 0.8%, inflation drags

Manufacturing, mining sector output contract; power generation only sector to show growth; analyst warns of growth impact if festival season does not help IIP rise in September, October

Updated - October 12, 2022 11:52 pm IST

Published - October 12, 2022 08:49 pm IST - NEW DELHI

India’s industrial output contracted 0.8% in August from the minor 2.2% growth recorded in the previous month, with both manufacturing and mining sectors reporting lower output than a year earlier, while overall factory production shrank 2.3% from July 2022.

While the Index of Industrial Production (IIP) had risen 13% in August 2021, base effects only played a marginal role in the contraction with the index reading 131.3, the lowest level since November 2021, when it was at 128.

Manufacturing output contracted 0.7% from August 2021 levels and was 1.48% lower than July 2022, while the mining sector dropped 3.9% from a year earlier and was 0.95% below July levels.

Electricity generation was the only sector to clock an uptick with a 1.4% rise this August from a year earlier, and a 1.3% growth over July. However, August’s electricity output index is the second lowest since at least April 2022.

While there was ‘all round disappointment’ in the IIP print, Bank of Baroda chief economist Madan Sabnavis said that the ‘main drag has come from the consumer end with both durables and non-durables production declining by 2.5% and 9.9%, respectively’.

“Inflation has come in the way of demand for sure and the critical part will be how demand turns out in the festival time… unless IIP growth touches 5% in September and October, there will be an adverse impact on growth prospects,” he reckoned.

While industrial output was 4% over pre-COVID levels in August, it was lower than most expectations.

“It will be critical for the consumption in the economy to pick up for the overall growth to be sustained. Global growth slowdown, slowing exports and elevated inflation are the other dampeners for pickup in industrial activity,” said CARE Ratings chief economist Rajani Sinha.

0 / 0
Sign in to unlock member-only benefits!
  • Access 10 free stories every month
  • Save stories to read later
  • Access to comment on every story
  • Sign-up/manage your newsletter subscriptions with a single click
  • Get notified by email for early access to discounts & offers on our products
Sign in


Comments have to be in English, and in full sentences. They cannot be abusive or personal. Please abide by our community guidelines for posting your comments.

We have migrated to a new commenting platform. If you are already a registered user of The Hindu and logged in, you may continue to engage with our articles. If you do not have an account please register and login to post comments. Users can access their older comments by logging into their accounts on Vuukle.