The World Cup turned on its axis over the weekend.
Before Friday, virtually every soccer expert was certain that the power in this tournament belonged to teams from Latin America, that European soccer was stale.
And what happened? Predictions were shot through with holes and grown men were reduced to tears.
First, Brazil was outplayed in a 2-1 loss to the Netherlands in Port Elizabeth. Then Ghana lost in a shootout after a deliberate use of hands by a Uruguayan player at Soccer City in Johannesburg.
Next, Argentina was overwhelmed by Germany, 4-0, in Cape Town. Finally, David Villa, Spain's saviour once again, scored with seven minutes left in regulation time to eliminate a spirited Paraguay team at Ellis Park in Johannesburg.
Four fields featuring four contests that confounded the critics.
Who would have it any other way? Uncertainty is a good thing in sports. If the results were known beforehand, why would anyone bother to go to the stadium or to switch on the television at all hours of the day and night?
The Dutch players probably did not think much of their chances at halftime on Friday, when they trailed, 1-0. Wesley Sneijder, who scored the goals that turned the game around, and Arjen Robben said that the players in the locker room saw no way that they could advance to the next round. Not after being dominated in every way by Brazil for a half.
What changed that, Sneijder said, was the realisation that nothing would be gained by staying timid. Dutch courage, maybe Brazilian overconfidence and certainly a foul that resulted in a red card for Felipe Melo of Brazil, turned things around.
But the key to Brazil's elimination was that it was not true to its traditional flowing soccer style. Its coach, Dunga, tried to make Brazil more like Germany: bigger, stronger, more efficient and less flamboyant.
Brazil fell between the two approaches, and on Sunday, Dunga was fired for that. Brazil relying on its own rhythm and creativity is the best game on earth; Brazil attempting to emulate the style of a European team did not scare the Dutch.
Opposite approach
Argentina took the opposite approach. Knowing that its defence was poor, it pushed everything forward, giving this World Cup more thrills during the first three weeks than any other team.
That strategy failed against Germany, which knew exactly how to beat such an unbalanced team: Take advantage of its weakness, crowd out Lionel Messi and never let Argentina's attacking offence get any momentum.
“It was absolute class,'' Germany coach Joachim Loew said of Saturday's victory. “We analysed their games and expected that Messi would drop into midfield. We managed to take him out of the game, keeping him under pressure without fouling him.''
He added: “I told my players, `You are younger, faster, more enduring.' We were able to put Argentina's defence under pressure and take it apart completely.''
Full marks for thoroughness. Yet Loew is still auditioning for his job at this World Cup. A month ago, the German soccer federation was not prepared to give him a contract beyond 2010.
How could it or Loew have known a few months ago that Thomas Mueller, then just a young prospect with little experience at the international level, would burst into this World Cup like a star?
How could Loew be sure that Sami Khedira, Jerome Boateng and Mesut Oezil would bring to Germany a youthful self-confidence that would make them not only powerful as a unit but pleasing to watch too?
Revelatory essence
The joy of putting them in and finding out is part of this World Cup's revelatory essence. The fall of presumed powers like England, France, Italy and Brazil is quite the opposite.
And it is not only teams that are going home without fulfilling their potential. The exit of England's Wayne Rooney, Portugal's Cristiano Ronaldo and now Messi was shocking.
They came into the tournament hailed as the heirs to the legacies of players like Pele, Diego Maradona and Zinedine Zidane. They are, by anyone's estimation, the three current outstanding individual stars in soccer, both on the field and in its marketing. Rooney and Ronaldo did nothing to enhance their reputations. Messi did, until he was neutralised by Germany. Maradona, now Argentina's coach, would seem to be a man with a singular insight about star players — and perhaps why they fail. When his own tears were spent Saturday, he said he felt as if he had been flattened by a punch from Muhammad Ali. Verbal punches were thrown at him from all angles. Surely Maradona was responsible for Argentina's collapse? Surely he accepted what Germany's players had said beforehand, that Argentines were nothing but temperamental artistes?
Messi was the only player on the Argentine roster whose talent approached that of Maradona's, yet when Messi tried to run through Germany the way he had through previous opponents, he was rebuffed.
The inquests will be relentless, the taunts cruel, and they will start in South America. But the Latin Americans are not done with this tournament. There is still Uruguay against the Netherlands on Tuesday, and Spain, the European Latins, waiting for Germany on Wednesday.
Spain-Germany is almost a European final in its own right — a repeat of the Euro 2008 final, which Spain won, 1-0.
Germany has eliminated Argentina, and now it faces Spain, which has a flair with the ball that is bonded with patience and a team concept that fuses the European and South American styles.
A prediction? No chance! Surprise is this tournament's lesson. — New York Times News Service
