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Updated: July 23, 2013 03:51 IST

Nitish down, BJP up but the story is incomplete

Vidya Subrahmaniam
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The Nitish Kumar government in Bihar is up against heavy odds, according to the 2013 CNN-IBN-The Hindu Election Tracker poll. The survey shows that the State government’s performance and approval ratings have taken a huge hit compared to 2011. File photo
PTI The Nitish Kumar government in Bihar is up against heavy odds, according to the 2013 CNN-IBN-The Hindu Election Tracker poll. The survey shows that the State government’s performance and approval ratings have taken a huge hit compared to 2011. File photo

No erosion in JD(U)’s vote share after its split with BJP

The Nitish Kumar Government in Bihar is up against heavy odds, according to the 2013 The Hindu-CNN-IBN-CSDS election tracker. The survey shows that the state government’s performance and approval ratings have taken a huge hit compared to 2011. Down from 90 per cent to 69 per cent measured for performance. and from 87 per cent to 54 per cent measured for approval/popularity.

To make matters worse, the survey shows wide disapproval for Mr. Kumar's decision to break with the Bharatiya Janata Party on the issue of Narendra Modi leading the National Democratic Alliance. Forty-one per cent respondents from the Kurmi-Koeri castes, who form Mr. Kumar’s core constituency, said he should have accepted Mr. Modi. This flies against the perception that Mr. Kumar broke with the BJP in response to demands from his voters.

The good news for the Chief Minister is that there seems to be no erosion in the Janata Dal(United)’s vote share post its split with the BJP. If anything the JD(U)’share of votes is shown to be up by a percentage point, which could of course also be due to the JD(U) being able to contest more seats. On the other hand, the survey shows a significant gain in the BJP’s vote share which could be because of Mr. Modi.

The survey makes no mention of alliances. Clearly with his own vote base intact , Mr. Kumar can more than recover his fortunes if he chooses to align with the Congress.

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It is looking like Nitish kumar is pursuing his personal agenda i.e rubbing his opinion on the party even though people are not against the MODI becoming a prime minister ... just like as his post has been taken away by the MODI .. going away from NDA i think is bad decision and whom he criticices in next general election .. BJP definetly going to gain ....

from:  Narender Reddy Kampelli
Posted on: Jul 24, 2013 at 15:01 IST

Mr. Nitish Kumar is an opportunistic. He took the help of BJP when he required most. By partying away from BJP and involving with Congress he has not only created problem to his party but helped Mr Lalu Prasad Yadav to make his mark. However,it is the BJP which is going to be the significant winner in Bihar in the coming election.

from:  Dr. Pradeep Kumar Parida
Posted on: Jul 23, 2013 at 12:03 IST

There will minimum 7% to 10% towards BJP coalition because of our
ineffective and dull PM. He is just like any other politician with
power thirst. In 2010 election time he said economy will improve after
election and now he is doing the same. He is working for corporate not
for the people.

from:  Amudhavanan Arunachalam
Posted on: Jul 23, 2013 at 10:23 IST

You have sugar coated the fall in Nitish party's support. This Sounds like congress party report when you end on a note that Mr Kumar still have a chance if he aligns with the Congress

from:  Jayraj B
Posted on: Jul 23, 2013 at 10:06 IST

Good news for Nitish. Hurray! He should go for mid term poll and consolidate his position?

from:  dinesh Chauksey
Posted on: Jul 23, 2013 at 09:06 IST

It was very foolish of Mr. Nitish Kumar to have broken with BJP. This is going to cost him dearly in the next elections both local and national. Modi has a very strong charisma as against Mr. Kumar. He should have worked as a team with Modi and gained in other areas such as benefits from centre for his state when and if BJP captures centre. Now he not only spoiled his chances, it also splits votes and might cause more turmoil in Bihar. He definitely cannot go and join Lalo Prasad as he would be treated as second rate lead only. Modi on the other hand would have given him better position and respect.

Modi wave is going to sweep the North for sure. UPA will be swept out.

from:  Honga Singh
Posted on: Jul 23, 2013 at 09:06 IST

If Nitish kumar choses to be aligned with Congress, It will only make
things worse for him in Bihar, since congress has been almost
completely uprooted here.

from:  Rahul
Posted on: Jul 23, 2013 at 08:53 IST

What a surprise today! whether I am really reading 'Hindu' or any other
news paper?
It states that"Forty-one per cent respondents from the Kurmi-Koeri
castes, who form Mr. Kumar’s core constituency, said he should have
accepted Mr. MODI.

However as usual the heading of the story has its own twist!( "Nitish
down, BJP up but the story is incomplete")

from:  A.SESHAGIRI
Posted on: Jul 23, 2013 at 08:10 IST

Nitish is stoo-ping low and doing every trick he is having to hide his frustration. Now he at least able to recognize that he is nothing without BJP.

from:  tihinam
Posted on: Jul 23, 2013 at 03:18 IST

"If anything the JD(U)share of votes is shown to be up by a percentage
point, which could of course also be due to the JD(U) being able to
contest more seats"

The article clearly needs to mention how many additional seats JD-U
has to contest to increase the 1% vote share.Currently BJP has 12 and
JDU 20. If the survey was taken in consideration that JDU will contest
all the additional 12 seats held by BJP, then it clearly means 1%
increase is very less. Also, the author needs to mention how much the
share of the BJP will be increased, so that one can do a better
comparision between the vote shares of the parties.

from:  Narasimha Reddy
Posted on: Jul 23, 2013 at 00:50 IST

Why do The Hindu and others not carry such a survey for central
government? What is stopping them? I wonder if exercise is politically
motivated. Let nation know about central government which is more
important to them rather a state government.

from:  dalchand agrawal
Posted on: Jul 22, 2013 at 22:30 IST

Its difficult to accept Hindu the newspaper has published something pro Modi. Can I ask what's the agenda?

from:  Muralidhar Mallya
Posted on: Jul 22, 2013 at 21:58 IST

Every Chief minister has been elected to take care of his state, like the saying goes take care of your house first before taking care of other peoples homes. There is another saying when you point one finger at others three of your fingers are pointing at your self.Fix and take care of your house first and then worry about others. Congress is doing a great job of breaking the opposition into fragments. The problem is nobody cares about the country they all want power and wealth at any cost.The elections are fought with money the richer the person the better the prospects. The schools used have flag hoisting and the National anthem was sung, at the end of the movies in theatres the National anthem was sung. I do not think most of our politicians or public know the National Anthem.The country has become a slave to money, sex, drugs, and thugs are roaming free.

from:  Anjaneyulu
Posted on: Jul 22, 2013 at 21:42 IST
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