Hillary’s lead over Trump has narrowed after Orlando shooting

Trump’s comments on banning Muslims and some gun control have found support among some voters

June 18, 2016 11:00 pm | Updated October 18, 2016 01:07 pm IST - NEW YORK:

Hillary Clinton participating in a round table conversation in Hampston, Virginia, earlier in the week.

Hillary Clinton participating in a round table conversation in Hampston, Virginia, earlier in the week.

Donald Trump chipped away at Hillary Clinton’s lead in the presidential race this week, according to a Reuters/Ipsos poll released on Friday, as the candidates clashed over how to respond to the worst mass shooting in modern U.S. history.

The poll, conducted from Monday to Friday, showed Ms. Clinton, the presumptive Democratic nominee, with a 10.7 point lead among likely voters over Mr. Trump, her likely Republican rival in the November presidential election.

That’s down from a lead of 14.3 points for Ms. Clinton on Sunday, the day an American-born shooter who declared allegiance to militant group Islamic State killed 49 people at a gay nightclub in Orlando, Florida.

Immigration measures

Mr. Trump seized on the attack to sharpen his security proposals, saying he would block immigration to the United States from any country with a “proven history of terrorism” against America and its allies if elected. The pledge fine-tuned an earlier vow, made after the attacks last year in Paris and California, to ban the entry of all Muslims into the United States.

He also called for measures to make it more difficult for suspected terrorists to obtain firearms, veering from the Republican Party’s general opposition to gun control.

While Mr. Trump’s comments on both Muslims and guns dismayed some Republican elites, they may have cheered some voters.

Some 45 per cent of Americans said they supported Mr. Trump’s idea to suspend Muslim immigration, up from 41.9 per cent at the start of the month, according to the poll. Meanwhile, about 70 per cent of Americans, including a majority of Democrats and Republicans, said they wanted to see at least moderate regulations and restrictions on guns, up from 60 per cent in similar polls in 2013 and 2014.

Ms. Clinton focused her response to the Orlando attack on the need to boost intelligence gathering and defeat Islamic State and what she called “radical jihadist terrorism”, while warning against demonising Muslim-Americans. She also repeated her calls for tougher gun control measures, including a ban on assault weapons.

Terrorism, a top concern

As usual after a major attack, “terrorism” jumped to the top concern among all adults in the poll — rising above the economy, health care and other major issues.

The poll’s five-day average showed that 45.5 per cent of likely American voters supported Ms. Clinton, while 34.8 per cent supported Mr. Trump, and another 19.7 per cent did not support either candidate. On Sunday, Ms. Clinton’s support was at 46.6 per cent, versus Mr. Trump’s 32.3 per cent. The Reuters/Ipsos poll was conducted online in English with adults living in the continental United States, Alaska and Hawaii. The political horserace poll included 1,133 likely voters and has a credibility interval, a measure of the poll's accuracy, of 3.4 percentage points. — Reuters

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